OPINION: Trump, Clinton Matchup Likely – Is Trump a Clinton Plant?
OPINION: By Jason Marshall
We are officially less than 30 days away from the first ballots cast in the 2016 presidential election. February 1st, Iowans across the state will participate in caucuses, commencing the nomination process for both major American political parties. According to the poles, businessman, Donald J. Trump has a slight lead over Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) holds a sizable lead over Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT). At this point it appears that Hillary and Donald will be head to head in a November matchup. So, it’s starting to the get to the point where we have to ask ourselves 2 questions – who will likely win, and why?
The polls are one indicator that everyone looks to first; and in the average polling, Mrs. Clinton becomes our 45th president, 45.6% to 40.8%. This margin has contracted recently, with the latest Rasmussen Reports poll showing a dead-heat, at 37-36. But, a lot can change after we get through Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. By the time our home state of Florida votes, the field promises to be MUCH less diverse than at the present.
Without winning Iowa, or even showing there (as the old adage goes, you either have to win, place or show), Huckabee, Fiorina, Santorum, and Kasich, will have no choice but to drop. Governor Bush will not likely pull out before Florida, but beyond that point, his prospects die off. Hillary will likely win Iowa, lose New Hampshire, and then sweep through the south, sealing the nomination quickly. A more protracted process on the Republican side, between Trump, Rubio, Cruz, and Carson (Paul may stay in, if he can gain enough delegates to speak at the RNC) will leave plenty of time, and money, for the DNC and the Clinton campaign to exploit the likely Republican nominee’s flaws – Trump.
We all know that Trump is a successful businessman. His history of success in the real estate and building sectors, combined with the entertainment business via The Apprentice, and his running of the Miss America pageant, make it keenly obvious that he knows how to create jobs. However, his insanely high unfavorable numbers (56% of Americans) view him as unfavorable, according to a recent Weekly Standard Report. What better way to resuscitate a negative image for Hillary, than by nominating an equally unlikable Republican to counter her?
Mr. Trump has a history of flip-flopping on gun rights, party affiliation, immigration, has given plenty of cash to Democrats such as Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, Rahm Emmanuel, and even Hillary herself. Mr. Trump has called Hillary a good senator from her time in the senate representing the state of New York, and called her husband, President Clinton, a great president. He has also expressed favorable opinions regarding universal health care, and eminent domain. These are hardly the traits you look for in a traditional conservative.
And what if something happens in the nomination process and an upset is pulled against Trump? What if he ends up losing his bid? Sure, he signed a loyalty oath to support the nominee even if it’s not himself, but given his track record of changing his mind, and his close ties to the Clintons, can he really be trusted? President Clinton won twice, because of Ross Perot, whom swung the election in his favor; not one time has he won 50% of the popular vote.
If Trump is the nominee, or if he runs a 3rd party candidacy against the nominee, his past will undoubtable come back to haunt him – 4 bankruptcies, 3 marriages, comments he’s made about his daughter (that if she wasn’t his daughter, he’d date her), and even rampant speculation that Trump chose to run as a favor to the Clintons to throw the election for Hillary (Newsmax).
Can Trump beat Hillary? No, I don’t believe he can. He’s not liked by most Americans, he has too much baggage, the DNC is armed and ready to slam him, and the greatest savior to Hillary’s candidacy, would be a Trump nomination.
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